Defining the IC’s Mission Space for Climate Change

As part of a special series on climate in partnership with The Intelligence Project at Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and Cipher Brief Expert and Senior Editor Kristin Wood, The Cipher Brief is focusing on the national security implications of climate change.  This report is derived from a half-day conference in April 2021 co-sponsored… Continue reading Defining the IC’s Mission Space for Climate Change

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What Iran’s Election Tells Us About Where It’s Headed

Hard-line cleric Ebrahim Raisi won Iran’s presidential election on Saturday in a move that is expected to bolster the conservative legacy of the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The decision is not expected to derail ongoing negotiations aimed at restoring the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) nuclear deal, even though Mr. Raisi himself… Continue reading What Iran’s Election Tells Us About Where It’s Headed

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Why the China – Russia Relationship Should Worry You – Part Two

When the PRC decides to move on Taiwan, it is unlikely to move in a manner that makes a US decision on intervention clear cut.  Should China decide, initially at least, against a full-scale invasion of that island nation, it could instead opt to try to “win without fighting.” Beijing might do so by using… Continue reading Why the China – Russia Relationship Should Worry You – Part Two

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Why the China – Russia Relationship Should Worry You – Part One

In 1937, Winston Churchill contrasted the “two rival religions” of Nazism and Communism then afflicting the world.  Those fascist and communist “infernal twins”, he wrote, “imagine themselves as exact opposites” but are, in fact “similar in all essentials”, breeding in reaction to each other.  Today’s ‘infernal twins’ – China and Russia – are ostensible great… Continue reading Why the China – Russia Relationship Should Worry You – Part One

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Mapping China by the Numbers: The Role of International Cooperation

As part of a week-long series focused on Mapping China’s Ambitions, The Cipher Brief is partnering with Harvard Research Fellow and former British diplomat Jamie Burnham to explore China’s threat vectors, how it is organizing to win, what a government ecosystem looks like and the impact that international collaboration will have in the future. Today, Burnham… Continue reading Mapping China by the Numbers: The Role of International Cooperation

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